The impact of agricultural development on nigeria economic growth (1980-2010) | Blazingprojects Postgraduate Thesis
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The impact of agricultural development on nigeria economic growth (1980-2010)

 

Table Of Contents


Chapter ONE

INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1Introduction
  • 1.2Background of Study
  • 1.3Problem Statement
  • 1.4Objective of Study
  • 1.5Limitation of Study
  • 1.6Scope of Study
  • 1.7Significance of Study
  • 1.8Structure of the Research
  • 1.9Definition of Terms

Chapter TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW

  • 2.1Overview of Agricultural Development
  • 2.2Historical Perspective of Agriculture in Nigeria
  • 2.3Theoretical Frameworks in Agricultural Development
  • 2.4Role of Government in Agricultural Development
  • 2.5Technological Advancements in Agriculture
  • 2.6Agricultural Policies and Programs
  • 2.7Challenges Facing Agricultural Development
  • 2.8Agricultural Development and Economic Growth
  • 2.9Comparative Analysis of Agricultural Development Models
  • 2.10Global Perspectives on Agricultural Development

Chapter THREE

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  • 3.1Research Design
  • 3.2Population and Sample Size
  • 3.3Data Collection Methods
  • 3.4Data Analysis Techniques
  • 3.5Research Instruments
  • 3.6Ethical Considerations
  • 3.7Limitations of the Methodology
  • 3.8Validity and Reliability

Chapter FOUR

DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS

  • 4.1Overview of Data Analysis
  • 4.2Demographic Analysis Results
  • 4.3Economic Growth Indicators
  • 4.4Agricultural Development Impact Analysis
  • 4.5Correlation Analysis
  • 4.6Regression Analysis Results
  • 4.7Discussion on Findings
  • 4.8Implications for Policy and Practice

Chapter FIVE

SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

  • 5.1Summary of Findings
  • 5.2Conclusion
  • 5.3Recommendations for Future Research
  • 5.4Practical Implications
  • 5.5Contribution to Knowledge

Thesis Abstract

In recent decades, the main and potential contribution of agriculture
to economic growth has been a subject of much controversy among
development economists. As some contend that agricultural development is
a pre-condition for industrialization, others strongly object it and
argue for a different path. Taking advantage of ordinary least square
method (OLS), the research carried out by means of secondary data and
using the independent variables. Agricultural Development (AGD), Capital
Formation (CFN) Inflation Rate (INF), and Interest Rate (INT) to
re-examine the question of whether agriculture could serve as an engine
of Economic growth in Nigeria. The result gotten from the empirical
analysis shows that the productivity in agricultural sector has
appreciably impacted positively on the economic growth in Nigeria.

Thesis Overview

<p> </p><p>INTRODUCTION</p><p>1.1 Background of the Study</p><p>Agriculture is the foundation and bedrock upon which the development<br>of stable human community has depended on throughout the whole universe<br>such as rural and urban communities. It is concerned with the husbandry<br>of crops and animals for food and other purpose. The study of the<br>history of economics provides us with ample evidence that can<br>agricultural revolution is a fundamental pre-condition for economic<br>development. The agricultural sector has the potentials to be the<br>industrial and economic springboard from which a country’s development<br>can take off. Indeed, more often than not, agricultural activities are<br>usually concentrated in the less developed rural areas where there is a<br>need for rural transformation, redistribution, poverty alleviation and<br>socio-economic development.</p><p>The agricultural sector has the potentials to shape the landscape,<br>provide environmental benefits such as conservation, guarantee<br>sustainable management of renewable natural resources, preserve<br>biodiversity and contribute to the viability of rural areas development.<br>Through its spheres of activities at both the macro and micro levels,<br>the agricultural sector is strategically positioned to have a high<br>multiplies and linkage effect on any nation’s quest for socio-economic<br>and industrial development. The growth of the agricultural sector in<br>Nigeria was not smooth. Anyanwu (1967) held that during the colonial<br>period between 1861 to 1960, attention was given to agricultural<br>research and extension services. Among the activities that were done was<br>the establishment of a research station in Lagos by Sir Claude<br>Mc.Donald in 1893: Landmark of 10.4 km was acquired by the British<br>Cotton Growing Association (BCGA) in 1899 for experimental purpose<br>strictly for cotton and was named “Moor Plantation” in Ibadan. In 1912,<br>the Department of Agriculture was established in each of the then<br>southern and Northern Nigeria, but the activities of the department were<br>virtually suspended between 1912 and 1921 as a result of the First<br>World War and its aftermath. The period between 1929 and 1945 was a<br>difficult one for the agricultural sector of Nigeria. This was the<br>period of great depression when the world princes on commodities<br>fluctuated. This affected the agricultural sector negatively because the<br>volume of agricultural product increased but the value did not increase<br>proportionally.<br>The period 1945 to 1945 marked the period of expert boom, because<br>counties were just recovering from the Second World War and these<br>countries needed to develop. They depended on primary production for the<br>beginning stage of industrialization. They needed to revitalize their<br>industrial sector by demanding primary goods. Prices of primary products<br>rose higher again because there were speculations that there would be a<br>third world war due to the outbreak of the Korean War. However, after<br>this period, there came another period of price instability. This made<br>the reliance on agriculture and its products to fall, leading to the<br>establishment of a market board. This board bought these products from<br>the local farmers and sold them overseas.<br>In spite of all the period, Nigeria made great revenue from agriculture.<br>In the pre-independence era, the agricultural sector contributed most<br>to the GDP of Nigeria. Helleiner (1966) said that in 1929, export<br>production amounted to 57% of Nigeria’s revenue of which agriculture<br>contributed about 80% of the export. On attainment of political<br>independence in 1960, the trend was still very much the same, the<br>Nigeria economy could reasonably be described as an agricultural<br>economy, because agriculture served as the engine of growth of the<br>overall economy (Ogen 2003). According to Alkali (1997) Nigeria was the<br>world’s second largest producer of cocoa, largest exporter of palm oil<br>during the period. And was also a leading exporter of other major<br>commodities such as cotton, groundnut, rubber and hides and skins.<br>Between 1964 and 1965, agricultural output accounted for 55% of GDP and<br>employed 70% of the adult workforce (Matton, 1981). In 1970,<br>agricultural export crops like cocoa, groundnut, cotton, rubber, palm<br>oil, palm kernel, etc. accounted for an average of between 65% and 75%<br>of Nigerian foreign exchange earnings and provided the most important<br>source of revenue for the federal as well as state government through<br>expert products and sale taxes (Ekund are 1973). Despite the reliance of<br>Nigerian peasant farmers on traditional tools and indigenous farming<br>methods, these farmers produced 705 of Nigerian’s exports and 95% of its<br>food needs (Lawal, 1997).<br>However, the 1967 to 1970 civil war in Nigeria coincided with the oil<br>boom era, which resulted in extensive exploration and exportation of<br>petroleum and its strong agriculture in favour of an unhealthy<br>dependence on oil (United States Department of state, 2005). Ever since<br>then, Nigeria has been witnessing extreme poverty and insufficiency of<br>basic food items. The agricultural sector contributions now accounts for<br>less then 5% of Nigeria’s GDP (Olagbaju and Fashola, 1996). It is<br>against this backdrop that we set out to research on the impact of<br>agricultural development on Nigeria economic growth. As noted earlier,<br>the neglect of the agricultural sector and the dependence of Nigeria on a<br>mono-cultural crude oil based economy had not augured well for the<br>well-being of the Nigerian economy. It becomes therefore imperative to<br>study the impact of agricultural development on the Nigeria economic<br>growth. 1.2 Statement of Problem The agricultural sector has suffered<br>from years of poor management, inconsistent and poorly implemented<br>government policies, government neglect and lack of basic<br>infrastructure. Agriculture accounted for 30% of the GDP in 2010 (World<br>Factbook, January 9, 2012).<br>Nigeria is no longer a major exporter of cocoa, groundnut, rubber and palm products. Coca production<br>mostly from obsolete varieties and over-aged trees are stagnant at<br>around 150,000 tones annually. There is also a decline in groundnut,<br>palm oil and other major export crops (United States Department of<br>State, 2005). The decline in agricultural production was largely due to<br>the rise of oil shipments (A.B Sekumade 2009). Because of this backdrop,<br>agriculture has not kept up with the rapid population growth and<br>Nigeria once a large net exporter of for now imports most of its food<br>requirements. Dependence on oil is not only the cause of the<br>under-development of the Nigerian agricultural sector, but also:<br>1. The Nigerian agriculture is characterized and surrounded by bunch of<br>illiterate farmers who live in rural areas, producing over 90% of the<br>total food consumed and other agricultural products and with regards to<br>their educational status giving little or no room for improvement<br>through scientific research.<br>And also more than 90% of the consumed food in Nigeria is provided by the small-scale farmers.</p><p>2. The Nigerian agriculture lacks storage facilities and these have<br>led to so much wastage and high cost of storage. This hinders the<br>availability of source perishable agricultural produce through the year,<br>therefore hindering agricultural development.</p><p>3. Another negative force is Dependence on weather which affects the<br>increase in agricultural produce. Nigeria Agriculturists or farmers<br>still depend on rainfall only to produce instead of the use of<br>irrigation that supplies water all through the year.<br>4. The problem of finance: The agricultural sector is poorly financed in<br>Nigeria. They do not get credit easily from financial institutions,<br>like commercial banks. The agriculturists find it difficult to finance<br>projects which are capital intensive. The commercial banks cannot grant<br>loans easily to a small scale<br>farmer because of low produce and low profit which results to a failure in paying back the loan.</p><p>5. In addition, the dependence on imported foods has disincentive<br>investment in local farming. Also, soil infertility is one of the<br>problems of agriculture in Nigerian. Most of the farmable land in<br>Nigeria contains soil that is how to medium in productivity. According<br>to the food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO),<br>with proper management, the soil can achieve medium to good<br>productivity. The movies problem that affects soil fertility is soil<br>erosion. Wind erosion, strong winds expose seeding lings and crops root<br>system by blowing away loose, fine grain soil particles in drifts, which<br>can cover crops.<br>Another type of erosion that affect soil fertility is water erosion.<br>There are two types of water erosion: Splash erosion and rill erosion.<br>Splash erosion occurs when rain drops impact the soil and rill erosion<br>occurs when channels of water carry soil downstream. This (water<br>erosion) is reduced when the soil is covered with a canopy. 6. Food<br>processing problem is estimated that about 20 to 40% of the yearly<br>harvest is lost during processing. The primary cause is the lack of<br>efficient harvesting techniques. According to and with the information<br>above, it is quite clear that the agricultural sector, as one of the<br>Nigeria economy has really got a lot to contribute to the economic<br>growth of the country. This research work therefore is aimed at<br>answering the following questions:</p><p>(i) What is the effect of agricultural output on economic growth?</p><p>(ii) What is the effect of agricultural sector on employment creation?</p><p>1.3 Objectives of the Study</p><p>The broad objective of this study is to determine the impact of agricultural development on economic growth in Nigeria.</p><p>1. To determine the impact of agricultural sector on the economic growth in Nigeria.</p><p>2. To determine the effect of agricultural sector on employment creation in Nigeria</p><p>1.4 Statement of Hypothesis For the purpose of this study, the following hypothesis is tested;</p><p>1. H0; Agricultural development has no significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.</p><p>2. H0; Agricultural development has no significant effect on employment creation in Nigeria.</p><p>1.5 Significance of the Study<br>The significance of this study depends on the fact that with improved<br>economy Nigeria stands to gain in its effects toward development. This<br>work attempts to answer the question: What is the relevance of<br>agriculture in economic growth? The cause of agricultural backwardness<br>and how the present state of our agricultural productivity will be<br>improved. This will form the basis upon which suggestions and<br>contributions will be made as to how the full potentials of agriculture<br>can be harnessed. This work stands to benefit:</p><p>i. Nigeria as a whole: The research work intends to bring firth ways<br>to increase agricultural output both for the purpose of consumption and<br>exportation which ultimately will bring an increased favorable balance<br>of payment (BOP) for the nation.</p><p>ii. This work will be advantageous to schools (staffs and students)<br>and will help them understand the importance of farming no matter how<br>small the scale of production may be.<br>1.5 Scope and Limitations</p><p>This research work focuses on the impact of agricultural development<br>on the economic growth of Nigeria between the period of 1980 to 2010.<br>There are some factors or constraints which hinder my achieving the<br>whole intension of this work, these constraints are; time factor, poor<br>finance, environmental constraints like free movement to research<br>outside the school premises etc.</p> <br><p></p>

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