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A comparative analysis of the impact of fluctuating oil prices on nigeria’s agricultural and industrial sectors

 

Table Of Contents


Chapter ONE

1.1 Introduction
1.2 Background of Study
1.3 Problem Statement
1.4 Objective of Study
1.5 Limitation of Study
1.6 Scope of Study
1.7 Significance of Study
1.8 Structure of the Research
1.9 Definition of Terms

Chapter TWO

2.1 Overview of Oil Prices
2.2 Historical Trends in Oil Prices
2.3 Impact of Oil Prices on Agricultural Sector
2.4 Impact of Oil Prices on Industrial Sector
2.5 Government Policies on Oil Price Fluctuations
2.6 Global Oil Market Dynamics
2.7 Case Studies on Oil Price Impact
2.8 Theoretical Frameworks on Oil Price Fluctuations
2.9 Strategies for Coping with Oil Price Changes
2.10 Future Trends in Oil Prices

Chapter THREE

3.1 Research Design and Methodology
3.2 Data Collection Methods
3.3 Sampling Techniques
3.4 Data Analysis Procedures
3.5 Research Instruments
3.6 Ethical Considerations
3.7 Validity and Reliability
3.8 Limitations of the Methodology

Chapter FOUR

4.1 Overview of Research Findings
4.2 Impact of Oil Prices on Agriculture
4.3 Impact of Oil Prices on Industry
4.4 Comparative Analysis of Sectoral Impacts
4.5 Policy Implications
4.6 Recommendations for Stakeholders
4.7 Future Research Directions
4.8 Conclusion

Chapter FIVE

5.1 Summary of Findings
5.2 Conclusions Drawn from the Study
5.3 Implications for Policy and Practice
5.4 Recommendations for Future Actions
5.5 Contribution to Knowledge

Thesis Abstract

This study was the brain child of the earnest desire to unravel the impact of the incessant fluctuating oil prices on two crucial sectors of the Nigerian economy; the agricultural sector and the industrial sector which used manufacturing sector as proxy. The analysis employed the unrestricted Vector Autoregressive methodology as its empirical technique, with a quarterly time series data spanning from 1987 quarter one through 2014 quarter four which covered 112 observations. The result of the impulse response function showed that a one standard deviation shock gin oil price volatility had no significant impact on agricultural and manufacturing sectors. These results were further validated by the variance decomposition analysis which further established that amidst the oil price volatility; there exist a complementary role between the sectors. These findings therefore, necessitated the study’s conclusions. Thus it is supposed that if the country’s excessive dependence on crude oil price benchmarks for fiscal policy strategies is not mitigated, the economy may be headed for a deeper crises and instability orchestrated by the utterly negligence of other crucial sectors of the economy.



Thesis Overview

This study was the brain child of the earnest desire to unravel the impact of the incessant fluctuating oil prices on two crucial sectors of the Nigerian economy; the agricultural sector and the industrial sector which used manufacturing sector as proxy. The analysis employed the unrestricted Vector Autoregressive methodology as its empirical technique, with a quarterly time series data spanning from 1987 quarter one through 2014 quarter four which covered 112 observations. The result of the impulse response function showed that a one standard deviation shock gin oil price volatility had no significant impact on agricultural and manufacturing sectors. These results were further validated by the variance decomposition analysis which further established that amidst the oil price volatility; there exist a complementary role between the sectors. These findings therefore, necessitated the study’s conclusions. Thus it is supposed that if the country’s excessive dependence on crude oil price benchmarks for fiscal policy strategies is not mitigated, the economy may be headed for a deeper crises and instability orchestrated by the utterly negligence of other crucial sectors of the economy.



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